Well there you go, pride comes before a fall and all that jazz. Had a couple of refund bets last week (including the DJ Campbell stake because the game finished 0-0) but Kris ‘Judas’ Commons was the only bet to come through. Still onward and upward, and with an incredible amount of televised football this weekend (I make it 16 games on Sky, BBC and ESPN between Saturday lunchtime and Sunday night) there is plenty to choose from:
Sunderland have been on a horrible run of late, with one win in eleven games. In fact, they have not beaten a team in the top half of the Premier League since December 18th. Their opponents that day were Bolton, but I am backing the Trotters to redress the balance. They might have bottled their big occasion at Wembley and are dross on the road, but Bolton have won their last five home league games, and so are good value at 1.9 here.
This will be combined with QPR winning at home to Leeds. With the Championship already supposedly sealed up this would normally be a banana skin for Rangers, but with their promotion resting on the result of the FA investigation, the club will possibly need all the points they can get, as a notable points deduction could see them drop into the playoff places. Leeds have dropped off recently, and have lost their lost four away league games. Given that three of these were to Crystal Palace, Derby and Sheffield United (all in the bottom five), a home win should be backed.
£10 on Bolton and QPR gets you £40
For my second bet it is a drop down to League One, where there is still much to play for. The chance to snap up Southampton at 1.7 should by no means be missed. Alongside that, back Sheffield Wednesday to end their season of turmoil in a degree of style with victory over Exeter. The visitors can no longer qualify for the playoffs, and although their recent record is good, they have lost two of their last three away games by four goals. Fill your boots.
£10 on Sheffield Wednesday and Southampton gets you £34
Ok, so Gillingham have won their last three away games, and Chesterfield are already promoted, but being able to get 2.2 on a Chesterfield side that can secure the title with a win is too hard to resist. In what becomes a speculative bet, combine this with Northampton drawing away at Morecambe. This is based on nothing apart from the fact I have just noticed that Northampton have drawn seven of their last nine away games. A dirty bet, if ever there was one.
£5 on Chesterfield to win and Northampton to draw gets you £39
Now, because it is getting toward the end of the season, how about a few ‘interest bets’, quirky flutters that keep you interested in TV football until the end of the game. Here goes:
£5 on five or more goals in Spurs v Blackpool gets you £19
£5 on a red card in Stoke v Arsenal gets you £17
£5 on Kris Commons to score first goal gets you £23.50
£5 on Wayne Rooney to score anytime Manchester Untied v Chelsea gets you £11