The NFL has consistently showcased the best quarterbacks throwing extraordinary passes and breaking records. Over the years, this cult of phenomenal quarterbacks has grown and evolved, fueled by players like Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Tom Brady.
Betting on the NFL Most Passing Yards odds has become increasingly popular among football enthusiasts, as it allows them to analyze and predict who might shine in the upcoming season.
In the 2023 NFL season, several talented quarterbacks are competing for the top spot in the passing yards category. With each game played, these athletes strive to outperform their rivals while fans and bettors keenly observe their progress. As the season advances, the odds for the most passing yards may shift, reflecting the players' performances and offering a dynamic online NFL betting environment for those with a keen eye for the sport.
NFL Most Passing Yards Odds Tracker
2023/24 NFL most passing yards odds – Latest Developments on Odds & Favourites:
12.14.2023
Tua Tagovailoa: Tua has seen a significant rise in his probability, peaking at 31.7% and maintaining a strong position at 30.58% by 12/14. This suggests a growing confidence in his passing ability and the Miami offense's aerial dynamics. His consistent high ranking indicates he's seen as a top contender for leading the league in passing yards.
Dak Prescott: Prescott's dramatic rise from 2.0% to 21.05% is noteworthy. This could be due to a combination of his own performance improvements and changes in the Cowboys' offensive strategy, making him a dark horse in the passing yards race.
C.J. Stroud: Stroud's spike to 25.53% before settling at 19.23% is interesting. It indicates a significant reassessment of his capabilities, possibly due to a standout performance or an increase in his team's reliance on the passing game.
Josh Allen and Jared Goff: Both have maintained relatively steady probabilities around 7-9%. This consistency suggests they are viewed as reliable passers, capable of accumulating significant yardage, but not necessarily leading the league.
Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes, initially the favorite, has seen a surprising drop from 31.6% to 6.67%. This decline might be due to changes in the Chiefs' offensive approach, his own performance, or the emergence of other quarterbacks.
Sam Howell: Howell's rise to 6.25% is notable, indicating a growing belief in his ability to rack up yards. This could be due to an uptick in performance or an increase in passing attempts.
Trevor Lawrence, Justin Herbert, Jalen Hurts: They have seen a decline in their probabilities, suggesting a market reassessment of their potential to lead the league in passing yards.
Lamar Jackson, Derek Carr, Geno Smith, Russell Wilson: Their low and relatively stable probabilities indicate they are not currently seen as top contenders for the passing title.
Jordan Love, Baker Mayfield: Remaining at the bottom of the list, these quarterbacks are viewed as long shots for leading the league in passing yards.
11.22.2023
1. C.J. Stroud: A Meteoric Rise
C.J. Stroud's trajectory in the implied probability stakes is nothing short of spectacular. From a modest 3.8% on 10/26, he's catapulted to an impressive 25.53% on 11/22. This surge suggests a growing belief in Stroud's ability to lead the passing yards category, fueled by standout performances.
2. Tua Tagovailoa: Consistency in the Spotlight
Tua Tagovailoa has maintained a consistent presence at the forefront of the passing yards race. Despite a slight dip from 31.7% to 25.00%, his probability remains robust. This consistency signifies a quarterback perceived as a formidable force in the ongoing competition.
3. Patrick Mahomes: A Subtle Retreat
The data indicates a slight decline for Patrick Mahomes, from 31.6% to 19.44%. While still a potent contender, this retreat may suggest either a recalibration of expectations or a response to performance variations over the observed period.
4. Sam Howell: The Dark Horse Emerges
Sam Howell has quietly emerged as a contender, with a notable rise from 4.0% to 9.59%. This surge suggests that Howell, initially considered an outsider, has captured the attention of analysts and bookmakers alike with his recent performances.
5. Josh Allen: Steady Competence
Josh Allen's implied probability has remained relatively steady, hovering around the 8% mark. This consistency indicates a quarterback who, while not experiencing significant fluctuations, is still seen as a reliable candidate in the passing yards competition.
11.03.2023
Tua Tagovailoa's Surge: Tua Tagovailoa experienced a significant increase in his implied probability for most passing yards in the NFL. His odds rose from 25.5% on 10/26 to 31.7% on 11/03. This noticeable uptick suggests that Tagovailoa's recent performances or other influencing factors led bettors to believe he had a higher chance of leading in passing yards, making him a more prominent contender in a short span of time.
Stability Among Top Contenders: Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert, two established quarterbacks, remained prominent contenders for most passing yards. While there were minor fluctuations in their probabilities, both players consistently held strong positions in both time frames. This stability indicates that bettors maintained confidence in their abilities to perform well throughout the specified period.
Emerging Contenders: Jalen Hurts and Sam Howell experienced notable increases in their implied probabilities from 10/26 to 11/03. Hurts' odds rose from 2.7% to 5.1%, indicating a growing belief among bettors in his potential to lead in passing yards. Similarly, Sam Howell's probability increased from 1.3% to 4.0%, suggesting that he gained attention and confidence among bettors, possibly due to impressive performances or favorable matchups. These shifts highlight the dynamic nature of betting odds, reflecting the changing perceptions of players' abilities as the season progresses.
10.26.2023
Mahomes and Tagovailoa are the frontrunners, indicating that they are expected to have strong seasons in terms of passing yards.
The market sees a significant drop in probability after the top few quarterbacks, suggesting a perceived gap in performance between the top contenders and the rest.
The odds suggest surprises are unlikely, as even quarterbacks with moderately low probabilities have less than a 4% chance, indicating a clear distinction between favorites and underdogs.
Name
10/26
11/03
11/22
12/14
Tua Tagovailoa
3.9
3.15
4.00
3.27
Dak Prescott
51.0
41
19
4.75
C.J. Stroud
26.0
30.8
3.92
5.20
Josh Allen
13.7
10.6
12
13.00
Jared Goff
13.7
13.4
12.7
14.00
Patrick Mahomes
3.2
3.35
5
15.00
Sam Howell
76.3
25
10
16.00
Trevor Lawrence
26.0
26.6
42
48.00
Justin Herbert
9.8
8.7
13
51.00
Jalen Hurts
37.0
19.8
24
64.00
Lamar Jackson
101.0
89
68
100.00
Derek Carr
71.0
50.2
85
101.00
Geno Smith
61.7
53.4
75
101.00
Russell Wilson
78.3
80.6
110
101.00
Jordan Love
134.3
151
130
109.00
Baker Mayfield
134.3
117
95
118.00
NFL All-Time Passing Yards
RK
PLAYER
YDS
1
Tom Brady
89,214
2
Drew Brees
80,358
3
Peyton Manning
71,940
4
Brett Favre
71,838
5
Ben Roethlisberger
64,088
6
Philip Rivers
63,440
7
Matt Ryan
62,792
8
Dan Marino
61,361
9
AARON RODGERS
59,055
10
Eli Manning
57,023
11
MATTHEW STAFFORD
53,990
12
John Elway
51,475
13
Warren Moon
49,325
14
Fran Tarkenton
47,003
15
Carson Palmer
46,247
16
Vinny Testaverde
46,233
17
Drew Bledsoe
44,611
18
Dan Fouts
43,040
19
JOE FLACCO
42,320
20
RUSSELL WILSON
42,082
The NFL All-Time Passing Yards leaderboard includes some of the greatest quarterbacks who have made their mark in NFL history. A player's passing yards reflect the total number of yards they have accumulated through completed passes during their career. This metric is often considered a measure of a quarterback's skill, efficiency, and longevity in the league.
At the top of the list is Tom Brady with 89,214 passing yards, followed by Drew Brees (80,358), Peyton Manning (71,940), Brett Favre (71,838), and Ben Roethlisberger (64,088). These legendary players have had long and illustrious careers, showcasing their exceptional talent and leadership on the field.
About The Data
At SportingPost.com, we keep a close eye on odds trends in crucial markets of interest by monitoring various bookmakers. The frequency of updates may vary, but you can always find the latest information clearly indicated on our tables and charts. We directly source odds from bookies and convert them into implied probabilities, making it convenient for you to stay informed.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who are the favorites to lead the NFL in passing yards in 2023?
Some of the top contenders to lead the NFL in passing yards in 2023 include Patrick Mahomes, Tua Tagovailoa, and Kirk Cousins. These quarterbacks have consistently demonstrated their ability to put up huge passing numbers and are at the forefront of NFL's Most Passing Yards odds for the 2023-24 season.
Which players have the highest potential to break passing yard records?
Players like Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, and Josh Allen are considered franchise-changing talents, capable of rewriting the record books. In recent seasons, these gunslingers have exhibited tremendous potential and are consistently among the top passers in the league. Their talent and impact on their respective teams make them likely candidates for breaking passing yard records.
How do current MVP odds correlate with passing yard odds?
The current MVP odds often align with the passing yard odds, as quarterbacks with exceptional passing stats are highly valued in the league and tend to have a significant impact on their team's success. For example, Patrick Mahomes is not only a favorite for NFL Passing Yards Leader, but also a top contender for the MVP award. This correlation indicates that a quarterback with a high probability of leading the league in passing yards is also expected to be in the running for the MVP title.
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Ben is a keen sports fan - paying particularly close attention to Soccer, Basketball and Cricket. Born in London, he is a diehard supporter of Chelsea.
Ben is a keen sports fan - paying particularly close attention to Soccer, Basketball and Cricket. Born in London, he is a diehard supporter of Chelsea.
Claudia is not just a writer but a dedicated researcher. Cutting through the noise of the gambling industry to get to the facts isn’t always easy, but she prides herself on being up to date with the latest news. Her years of experience in the iGaming industry have led to a fascination with the numbers behind gaming strategies, the analysis behind the betting tips, and of course, the latest game releases. A bargain hunter by nature, Claudia loves nothing more than finding and sharing the promotions and bonuses that seem almost too good to be true. As part of the team at SportingPost, her mission is to help people find their own ultimate gambling experience (and perhaps discover her own next big win on the horses).
Claudia is not just a writer but a dedicated researcher. Cutting through the noise of the gambling industry to get to the facts isn’t always easy, but she prides herself on being up to date with the latest news. Her years of experience in the iGaming industry have led to a fascination with the numbers behind gaming strategies, the analysis behind the betting tips, and of course, the latest game releases. A bargain hunter by nature, Claudia loves nothing more than finding and sharing the promotions and bonuses that seem almost too good to be true. As part of the team at SportingPost, her mission is to help people find their own ultimate gambling experience (and perhaps discover her own next big win on the horses).
