Tuesday night (November 28) features a clash between two Eastern Conference powerhouses, with the Bucks traveling to Miami to face the Heat. The Milwaukee team holds the second-best conference record at 12-5, while the home team has hit a rough patch in the season with two consecutive losses for a 10-7 record. The visiting team is riding a three-game winning streak and is a 3 point favorite according to top betting apps. Let’s examine the odds for NBA best prop bets.
The Bucks Are Getting Into a Rhythm
The Bucks had a slow start to their season, but things are getting in rhythm for the championship contender. Milwaukee has one of the most dynamic offenses in the league, which is to be expected when Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard share the court. Scoring is not an issue for this team. The Bucks have a 49% field goal percentage, ranking them third in the NBA.
On average, the Bucks score 120.4 points per game, another stat category where they are at the top of the league, ranking 3rd. The acquisition of Damian Lillard in the offseason slightly improved their three-point efficiency, and with 37.4% accuracy from beyond the arc, they have the 6th best three-point effectiveness in the NBA.
However, on the defensive side of the ball, this team is not very committed to stopping opponents. They allow 117.5 points per game, ranking them 24th in the league, but so far, they have not had any problems outscoring opponents. Despite the weak effort on defense, the Bucks are disciplined, prioritizing ball security and stealing 7.4 balls per contest on average.
Miami Heat Is Underperforming Offensively
After a hot start, the Heat is losing some steam, although their 112-97 loss on Sunday against Brooklyn can be excused, considering Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo were not on the court, and might not be back tonight. Miami is on the other side of the statistical spectrum compared to the Bucks, ranking as the 24th-scoring offense with 109 points per contest. Their field goal is not great at 46.1%, ranking them 23rd in the NBA.
Miami ranks at the bottom of every statistical category, except for 3-point shooting where they are 6th with 12 threes per game. The high effectiveness from beyond the arc is one reason Tyler Herro is the best scorer on the team with 22.9 points per game, but he will miss tonight's game due to injury. And the offense might be handicapped with another absence, after it was reported that Duncan Robinson might miss tonight's game. Defensively, the Heat concedes 107.8 points per game, ranking 6th for points allowed.
Betting Prediction
It appears the Bucks are rebounding from initial difficulties, while the Heat is going in the opposite direction. Yet, recent history is on the side of Miami, with 3 wins in their last 4 meetings. The best betting sites for free bets offer -115 odds on a moneyline bet for the Bucks and +130 odds for the Heat.
The point spread bets receive -110 odds for both teams to cover. The total is 225.5 points with -112 odds for the Over and -108 odds for the Under Bet. The acquisition of Lillard improved the Bucks shooting but reduced their defensive prowess. However, Miami faces a long list of injuries, with 3 starters: Bam, Butler and Robinson being questionable and Hero ruled out for toning. Opening the road for an easy win for the Bucks.
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